New England has scored at least that many in five of its last six games, so three touchdowns isn’t asking a lot.įor the Patriots to score, they’ll likely need Jones to throw the ball a fair amount. The bet starts with the Patriots going over 20.5 points on their team total. Mac Jones Over 219.5 Passing Yards (+105).Patriots Team Total Over 20.5 Points (-155).Look for Jones to have another busy day throwing the ball and hit the over on his passing yards prop. Jones matched his season-high with 35 passing attempts last week in his first full game back from injury, so Belichick trusts him to lead the offense again. His passing yards prop bet of 211.5 (-115) looks quite reasonable, as Jones exceeded that total in all three games before his injury while averaging 262 yards per contest. Mac Jones played much better in his second game back from injury than his first, and we expect that trend to continue. New England’s spread is the better bet, as the Patriots have won three of their last four games and appear to be gaining momentum ahead of this pivotal midseason AFC clash. The under is a viable wager, given the mediocre offenses and stout defenses on both sides. Meanwhile, the Patriots rely heavily on field goals and rank 17th with 22.1 points per game. The Colts average the third-fewest points per game in the NFL (16.1) and are 7-1 against the under this season. The total is 40.5 points on Sunday because of both teams’ inability to find the end zone this year. However, if you believe Indianapolis will win on Sunday, +200 is a playable price for the road underdog. New England’s moneyline doesn’t have a ton of value at -240, so we recommend laying the points instead. With star running back Jonathan Taylor (ankle) already ruled out for the Colts, Indy’s offense will be limited. We expect Ehlinger to be under a lot of duress on Sunday, which should lead to mistakes that help the Patriots cover. If any coach can create a game plan to terrorize a young quarterback, it’s Bill Belichick. That’s reflected in the odds for this game, as New England is favored by 5.5 points at home on the spread. New England’s 4-4 record isn’t much better than Indy’s 3-4-1 mark, but the Patriots are the superior football team. Which signal-caller will emerge victorious in Week 9? Let’s dig in with our Colts vs. The former MVP has been benched in favor of inexperienced backup Sam Ehlinger, who held his own during his first start of the season by completing 17 of 23 passes for 201 yards in Week 8. Meanwhile, Indianapolis has already moved on from Matt Ryan after trading for him last offseason. Third-string QB Bailey Zappe excelled in his absence, leading some fans and media members to favor him even after Jones’ return in Week 7. New England appeared to be set under center this year after Mac Jones made the Pro Bowl as a rookie last season, only to go down in Week 3 with a high-ankle sprain. The quarterback situations on both sides are the most significant stories heading into Sunday’s contest. The New England Patriots will look to post back-to-back wins for the second time this season when they host the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday. Note: Odds and lines from DraftKings Sportsbook are current at time of writing and subject to change.
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